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You should raise to 4. There's no guarantee,
but if you assume partner has about six tricks,
add four from your hand and you have 10. After
a minor-suit lead, partner should win, cash two
top spades and then attack hearts. If spades
are 3-2, he will make the contract.

Second choice, though a bit conservative, would
be to pass 3. The one bid you should not make
is 3NT, because there may be no entry to
partner's hand.

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